2026.07.09 Level Forecast and Outflow Reductions
Conditions remain hot and dry across the Winnipeg River basin. While Kenora continues to recover from the severe storm and tornado that struck the city and surrounding area on July 6, most of the basin received very little precipitation over the past week. Forecasts indicate that extremely warm temperatures are expected as of this weekend, with even less rainfall anticipated through next week.
Water supplies to the major lakes continue to decline. The Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources’ Surface Water Monitoring Centre reported that June precipitation was well below normal across the southern and eastern portions of the basin. With dry conditions persisting into July, the Board is directing continued gradual outflow reductions from both Lake of the Woods and Lac Seul. These reductions will help maintain lake storage to provide adequate river flows should dry conditions continue through the summer and into the fall.

The current level of Lake of the Woods is 322.93 m (1059.5 ft), a 25th percentile level, within the normal range for this time of year. The average lake level declined by 1 cm (0.5 in) over the past week and is expected to decline by up to 1 cm (0.5 in) over the next week. Lake of the Woods authorized outflow will decrease to 275 m3/s on Friday, July 10.
These outflow reductions will cause the level of the Winnipeg River to decline by approximately 5 cm (2 in) directly downstream of the Norman Dam and 2 cm (1 in) above the Dalles. The level at Minaki will not be affected by this flow change.
The current level of Lac Seul is 356.08 m (1168.2 ft), a 30th percentile level, within the normal range for this time of year. The lake level increased by 3 cm (1.2 in) over the last week and is expected to increase by 2.5 to 4 cm (1 to 1.5 in) over the next week. Lac Seul authorized outflow will decrease to 225 m3/s on Friday, July 10.