{"id":1901,"date":"2026-05-14T15:30:56","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T15:30:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/?p=1901"},"modified":"2026-05-14T15:30:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T15:30:56","slug":"2026-05-14-level-forecast-increasing-outflows-and-an-upcoming-weather-shift","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/2026\/05\/14\/2026-05-14-level-forecast-increasing-outflows-and-an-upcoming-weather-shift\/","title":{"rendered":"2026.05.14 Level Forecast, Increasing Outflows, and an Upcoming Weather Shift"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Dry conditions over the past week have helped ease flows in the Winnipeg River basin, particularly in the headwaters where tributary flows remain well above normal for this time of year.  The dry and warm weather is expected to persist until Sunday, after which a shift in the weather pattern is forecast.  A low pressure system will move across the region on Monday, bringing significant moisture in the form of widespread precipitation and embedded thunderstorms.  Although the exact track of the system is still uncertain, the rain is expected to linger for a couple days and be heavy at times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This precipitation will halt the declining flows and cause inflows to the major lakes to increase over the coming week.  Although both Lake of the Woods and Lac Seul are still refilling, continued gradual outflow increases are required to slow the rate of lake level rise.  The LWCB is monitoring conditions closely and using the adopted <a href=\"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/regulation\/LWCBStrategy2026Mar5.pdf\">Regulation Strategy<\/a> to guide operations in consideration of the various interests across the basin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The current level of\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/chrome-extension\/\/efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj\/https:\/\/www.lwcb.ca\/pdf\/LakeoftheWoods.pdf\">Lake of the Woods<\/a>\u00a0is 322.73 m (1058.8 ft), a 50<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0percentile level, within the normal range for this time of year. The average lake level increased by 7 cm (2.8 in) over the past week and is expected to increase by 8 to 15 cm (3 to 6 in) over the next week. Lake of the Woods authorized outflow will increase to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>475 m<sup>3<\/sup>\/s on Friday, May 15<sup>th<\/sup><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>550 m<sup>3<\/sup>\/s on Tuesday, May 19<sup>th<\/sup><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Each of these flow increases will cause the level of the Winnipeg River to increase, with a total level rise of approximately 32 cm (13 in) directly downstream of the Norman Dam and 17 cm (7 in) above the Dalles. The level at Minaki will not be affected by this flow change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The current level of\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/chrome-extension\/\/efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj\/https:\/\/www.lwcb.ca\/pdf\/LacSeul.pdf\">Lac Seul<\/a>\u00a0is 355.26 m (1165.5 ft), a 60<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0percentile level, within the normal range for this time of year. The lake level increased by 23 cm (9 in) over the last week and is expected to increase by 18 to 25 cm (7 to 10 in) over the next week.\u00a0Lac Seul authorized outflow will increase to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>300 m<sup>3<\/sup>\/s on Friday, May 15<sup>th<\/sup><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>350 m<sup>3<\/sup>\/s on Tuesday, May 19<sup>th<\/sup><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>The LWCB\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lwcb.ca\/waterflowdata.html\">Basin Data<\/a>\u00a0page will not be updated on Monday, May 18<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0(Victoria Day in Canada). Daily data updates and publication will resume on Tuesday, May 19<sup>th<\/sup>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dry conditions over the past week have helped ease flows in the Winnipeg River basin, particularly in the headwaters where tributary flows remain well above normal for this time of year. The dry and warm weather is expected to persist until Sunday, after which a shift in the weather pattern is forecast. A low pressure&hellip;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/2026\/05\/14\/2026-05-14-level-forecast-increasing-outflows-and-an-upcoming-weather-shift\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Read More &raquo;<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">2026.05.14 Level Forecast, Increasing Outflows, and an Upcoming Weather Shift<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1901","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1901"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1901\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1905,"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1901\/revisions\/1905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lwcb.ca\/noticeboard\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}